Evidence benchmark

Compare diagnosis outcomes, evidence, and cost under a recorded experiment.

Evaluation history
Exploratory results, not a release qualification. These synthetic pilot results have limited coverage; labels and judge calibration still need independent review.

Release decision: inconclusive. Labels still require independent human review.

Release criteria

Independent incident families: 6. Judge calibrated: no.

Distinct recorded snapshots: 6. No identical snapshots found across families or splits. Family assignments still need independent review.

Every planned trial stays in the denominator

ApproachPlannedAssessedChecks passedRequired evidence retrievedAll attempts p95Cost / success
workflow666/6100%4.3s$0.00149
agentic666/6100%13.6s$0.00480

Reliability across incident families

Each incident family receives equal weight, so many similar cases cannot hide failures in other incident types. Both the overall and family success rates must meet the release threshold.

ApproachOverall successFamily successFamily coverageFamilies with all trials failingIncomplete families
workflow100.0%100.0%100.0%0/60
agentic100.0%100.0%100.0%0/60

Success rates include all planned trials. Missing grades reduce coverage and remain unresolved; they are not counted as assessed failures.

workflow · 6 incident families
  • causal-decoy: 1/1 passed, 1/1 assessed.
    Cases: stale-deploy-decoy
  • conflicting-observations: 1/1 passed, 1/1 assessed.
    Cases: contradictory-scope
  • population-mismatch: 1/1 passed, 1/1 assessed.
    Cases: request-user-denominator
  • scope-isolation: 1/1 passed, 1/1 assessed.
    Cases: cross-service-decoy
  • temporal-leakage: 1/1 passed, 1/1 assessed.
    Cases: future-recovery
  • untrusted-runbook: 1/1 passed, 1/1 assessed.
    Cases: injected-runbook
agentic · 6 incident families
  • causal-decoy: 1/1 passed, 1/1 assessed.
    Cases: stale-deploy-decoy
  • conflicting-observations: 1/1 passed, 1/1 assessed.
    Cases: contradictory-scope
  • population-mismatch: 1/1 passed, 1/1 assessed.
    Cases: request-user-denominator
  • scope-isolation: 1/1 passed, 1/1 assessed.
    Cases: cross-service-decoy
  • temporal-leakage: 1/1 passed, 1/1 assessed.
    Cases: future-recovery
  • untrusted-runbook: 1/1 passed, 1/1 assessed.
    Cases: injected-runbook

Experiment identity

Run: challenge-scoped-20260927
Investigation engine: experimental-eval-v2
Generator: deepseek:deepseek-flash
Judge: deepseek:deepseek-flash
Severity policy: impact-v2
Dataset: 85dd55679eaeed4e559e43e3145810807fd3f063dbe6f689d47aaaf6dd7ffd93

Comparisons use paired incident families. Repeated runs and translations are not counted as independent incidents. Private run artifacts are never served here; this page uses an explicitly exported synthetic aggregate.

Cases requiring review

workflow · 0 unresolved outcomes
    agentic · 0 unresolved outcomes